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31.07.2013 19:40

American focus: the U.S. currency fell against the euro

The dollar fell against the euro, despite the previously noted the substantial growth that was recorded after the release of GDP data. We add that the negative impact on the U.S. currency was data that showed that the index of business activity in the Chicago Association of Managers with correction for July rose to 52.3 against 51.6 in June. The growth was weaker than economists' expectations of 53.7. Recall that values ​​above 50 are an indicator of accelerated growth in the economy. All the components in July were in the expansion, with growth compared to the previous month showed the sector procurement prices and supply, and the decline was noted in the employment sector.

Add that market participants are waiting in front of FOMC decisions and other Central Bank this week. The Fed today announced the results of a two-day meeting, and their intentions regarding the program of bond purchases by 85 billion dollars a month. Purchases are designed to help lower interest rates and stimulate spending and investment. The Fed has signaled that can minimize the program to begin this year, if the growth rate is improving in line with its forecasts

The yen fell sharply against the dollar, helped by positive data presented by the United States. It is learned from Automatic Data Processing Inc. and Moody's Analytics., employment in the private sector in the U.S. in July rose faster than economists expected, and the figures for June were revised upward. The number of jobs in the private sector in the U.S. in July rose to 200,000. Economists had expected an increase of the number of jobs in the private sector at 179,000. Job growth in June was revised up to 198,000 from 188,000. In addition, the data showed that firms employing 1-49 persons hired 82,000 new employees, medium-sized businesses with a staff of 50-499 people hired 60,000 new employees. Large companies with at least 500 people have taken 57,000 people. Employment in the services sector increased by 177,000 this month, and the industrial sector decreased 5,000.

Australian dollar captures its third-session decline, on expectations that next week the Reserve Bank of Australia may lower the level of the discount rate. We also recall that during his speech yesterday, remember that hints of policy easing, Stevens said that restrained inflation means that the RBA may, if necessary to lower the benchmark interest rate, which is already at a record low of 2.75%. This important comment was made just a week before the August RBA meeting and he plunged the Australian dollar in sharp decline.

"Recently, we say that, given the inflation outlook, it will be possible to resort to further ease monetary policy if needed to support the demand. Recent inflation data have not changed it," - said Stevens. The rate of inflation in Australia in the 2nd quarter was 2.4%, while in the depths of the target range 2% to 3%. As if to reinforce this point of view, Stevens said that although the series of rate cuts made by the end of 2011, effectively works by helping to stimulate the economy outside the mining industry, this does not mean that the central bank will lower rates again.

The cost of the Canadian dollar significantly higher against the U.S. dollar, which helped the data provided by Canada. Note that Statistics Canada reported that the Canadian economy grew in May, in line with market expectations, with growth in retail and wholesale trade was offset by weakness in the commodity sector.

The data showed that Canada's GDP, or the total amount of goods and services produced in the country rose by 0.2% to C $ 1.58 trillion after increasing by 0.1% in April. Growth in line with expectations of economists. Compared to the same period last year the Canadian economy grew by 1.6%.

31.07.2013 19:19

European stock close

Market Focus

  • ECB's Weidmann says first ECB rate hike could follow the end of QE more closely than in the U.S
  • Industrial producer prices rose by 0.1% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.2% in the EU28
  • European Commission forecasts Euro Zone inflation will accelerate to 1.6 pct y/y in 2019 from 1.5 pct y/y seen in 2018
  • UK service providers signalled a modest rebound in business activity - Markit
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